Valueman
ArchivedRetired: 04 Jan 2019
Blog Archive
Newcastle 7.30
29 Jun 2018
Newcastle 7.30 7 Holmeswood @ 10/1 - 1 point each way (Lads / Coral / Sky / PP go odds to 4th)This is a decent race but very few have proven AW let alone Tapeta form and whilst some might love it...
Read More →Newcastle 4.15
28 Jun 2018
Newcastle 4.15 9 Constantino - 1 point each way @ 10/1 - Ladbrokes / Coral and Sky go odds to 4th place This is a race that would grace any midweek meeting on Turf, a lot have chances ...
Read More →Beverley 2.30
26 Jun 2018
Beverley 2.30 4 Mywayistheonlyway @ 7/1 - 1 point each wayMake On Madam is a worth favourite with De Souza booked but a few others caught the eye as better value Mujassim could be better at 6 furlongs...
Read More →Chepstow 3.00
25 Jun 2018
Chepstow 3.00 1 Broadhaven Honey - 1 point each way at 6/1 (Sky Bet go odds to 4th place)This undulating track takes some getting used to, so always important to consider Course form. BROADHAVEN HONEY...
Read More →Ayr 4.50
23 Jun 2018
Ayr 4.50 5 Star Of The East @ 8/1 and 4 Euchen Glen @ 13/2 - both 1 point each wayEUCHEN GLEN has an excellent Course record here and the Yard is in very good form. The conditions are ideal and consid...
Read More →Thirsk 2.45
19 Jun 2018
Whilst this is a low grade 5 Furlong Handicap the veteran WINDFORPOWER stands out as being both very well handicapped and potentially well drawn. It has decent early pace and in these conditions it wo...
Read More →Goodwood 3.10
10 Jun 2018
GOODWOOD 3.10 4 Wolf Hunter - 1 point each way @ 10/1 (is 15/2 with PP and that may be about right but 4-5 major Bookies 10/1 early - careful with fragile Sunday markets)I was going to declare a "No T...
Read More →Hamilton 3.00
06 Jun 2018
VALUEMAN - Hamilton 3.00 7 Royal Cosmic @ 10/1 (B365 + BV) - 1 POINT each way The two at the top of the market look solid in context of the grade and of the pair I'd fear Kings Gold above Akamoto...
Read More →Fontwell 4.15
05 Jun 2018
Fontwell 4.15 9 Roparta Avenue - 1 point each way @ 15/2 (365 / BV / Sky) @' 7/1 generally and SKYBET go odds to 4th place.Mogestic will be the one to beat I think and Bagging Turf and Keep To The Bea...
Read More →Epsom 5.50
01 Jun 2018
Epsom 5.50 5 Right Action @ 11/1 generally + 8 Swift Approval @ 20/1 (PP / BV + Sky) 16/1 generally - Lads / Coral / PP / SkyBet to 4th placeThere are plenty in with chances here but with soft G...
Read More →Beverley 3.00
30 May 2018
Beverley 3.00 8 RELIGHT MY FIRE @ 15/2 + 6 HITMAN @ 9/1 both 1 point each wayThe SP2A Tracker that us Tipsters have access to really starts to come in to its own as horses have 2-3 runs or more. Both ...
Read More →Leicester 4.20
29 May 2018
VALUEMAN - Leicester 4.20 2 Tiffin Top @ 6/1 + 7 Gamesters Icon @ 8/1 - 1 point each way each - Odds to 4th Place (generally)A decent looking 3 year old race over 1mile and 2 furlongs on Good to Soft ...
Read More →York 2.35
26 May 2018
VALUEMAN - York 2.35 2 Battersea @ 11/2 + 8 Tawdeea @ 10/1 - 1/2 point each way eachA trip over 12 Furlongs and with ground easing, stamina and ability to handle a bit of cut are important. BATTERSEA ...
Read More →Goodwood 4.55
25 May 2018
Goodwood 4.55 Uber Cool - this 2 miles could take some getting on softer Going and I like a couple who are more exposed that qualify as mentions (see below) however UBER COOL strikes me as being very ...
Read More →Doncaster 5.50
19 May 2018
Doncaster 5.50 Swansway looks the each way Banker on the Card is fit and running well and bang on its last winning markit is easy to spot Ingleby Hollow as a love danger, but it is no real value and a...
Read More →York 5.35
17 May 2018
ValYork5.3511 October Storm 9/2 + 2 Graceland 11/2Disc The 2 mile race looks set to be between the 2 market Leaders based on Turf form and handicap marks and at 9/2and 11/2 respectively I can't s...
Read More →Beverley 4.20
26 Apr 2018
V-ManBev4.209 Almunther @ 5/1½ e/w Division 2 of the above and the same logic applies. Al Hawraa could be an improver but form indicates better after a run;Beverley Bullet will definitely ...
Read More →Epsom 3.20
25 Apr 2018
Epsom 3.20 8 Golden Wolf @ 8/1 / 10 Whinging Willie @ 12/1 - 1/2 point each way each.I suspect some SP2A Memebrs will recall WHINGING WILLIE winning for us at 14/1 over Course and Distance in The Appr...
Read More →Cheltenham 3.15
18 Apr 2018
Cheltenham 3.15 6 Brave Eagle @ 16/1 - 1/2 point each way (Lads / Coral / PP + SkyBet odds to 5th)(mention is 8 Qualando @ 25/1)This is a minefield full of unexposed horses coming off a break kept awa...
Read More →Kelso 3.10
16 Apr 2018
KELSO 3.10 2 So Satisfied @ 9/2 (up to you whether 1 point win or 1/2 point each way saver)5 Voyage To New York @ 12/1 is a 1/4 point mention and 9 Log On suggested for a Tricast perm if you wishI wan...
Read More →Aintree 3.40
14 Apr 2018
Aintree 3.40 3 Oldorangewood @ 11/1 / 9 On Tour @ 12/1 - both 1/4 point each way(Skybet go odds to 5th - all other Bookies odds to 4th)Another big field Handicap over The Mildmay Course and a trip aga...
Read More →Aintree 2.20
12 Apr 2018
Aintree 2.20 5 Nube Negra - 1/2 point each way @ 10/1Apple Shakira will be a warm order for this amongst several with very good chances. I was most taken by the run of Nube Negra though atCheltenham, ...
Read More →Hexham 4.25
10 Apr 2018
Hexham 4.25 5 Gibbstown - 1/2 point each way @ 7/1A slog over 3 miles and a few yards in likely Heavy Going and a moderate bunch of Class 5 plodders. Massinis Lady and Sounds Of Italyhead the market, ...
Read More →Leopardstown 4.30
04 Apr 2018
TipsValueman - Leopardstown 4.30 4 Claregate Street - 1/2 point each way @ 7/1 (SkyBet odds to 5th / generally to 4th place)Mention Leopardstown 4.30 3 Storm Ranger - each way (your preferred men...
Read More →Haydock 3.15
31 Mar 2018
Haydock Park 3.15 1 Delusionsofgrandeur @ 8/1 / 2 Wicked Willy @ 7/1 (both 1/4 point each way)I am not sure a few of these will appreciate more rain and there is enough forecast to be of concern, the ...
Read More →Wetherby 5.15
29 Mar 2018
Wetherby 5.15 2 Rising Marienbard - 1/2 point each way @ 9/1The 5.15 at Wetherby is a Class 5 race over 3 miles and level means these are a poor bunch. Zamparelli who has 3 mile P2P formis favourite f...
Read More →Warwick 2.10
28 Mar 2018
Warwick 2.10 1 Blue Flight - 1/2 point each way @ 9/1BLUE FLIGHT has shown enough promise over longer trips to look decent each way value here against the likely "odds on favourite";I don't think it i...
Read More →Huntingdon 4.10
26 Mar 2018
VALUEMAN - Huntingdon 4.10 5 Minella Whisper @ 9/2 / 11 Tommy The Rascal @ 15/2 - 1/2 point each wayI picked Minella Whipser when it ran on in to 3rd place here last time, evidence that the step...
Read More →Doncaster 2.25
24 Mar 2018
Doncaster 2.25 4 Lord Of The Rock - @ 20/1 (1/4 point each way - PP + SkyBet odds to 5th all others to 4th)I was toying with Donncha in The Lincoln but when Ian told me Elite Service were doing that r...
Read More →Newbury 2.30 (Mentions)
23 Mar 2018
Newbury 2.30 3 Private Malone @ 13/2 / 5 Kap Jazz @ 12/1 - both small £ each wayIn terms of the Mention, Valueman thinks that Private Malone is the most consistent and therefore likely to be an ...
Read More →Cheltenham 1.30
15 Mar 2018
Cheltenham 1.30 3 Finians Oscar @ 7/1 / 5 Kemboy @ 14/1 - both 1/2 point each way(please check your Bookie as some especially B365 are offering odds to 4th on first race each day)This is a tough littl...
Read More →Cheltenham 2.10
14 Mar 2018
Cheltenham 2.10 7 Elegant Escape - 1/2 point each way @ 10/1(have a 1/2 point win saver on Presenting Percy)The RSA is always eagerly awaited but as with the Ballymore can't find any enhanced odds to ...
Read More →Taunton 2.10
12 Mar 2018
Taunton 2.10 7 Fearsome Fred @ 13/2 / 10 River Dun @ 12/1 - 1 /2 point each way (Sky to 4th place)A 3 mile Handicap Hurdle and we anticipate the Going to be a fair bit worse than the "soft advertised....
Read More →Ffos Llas 4.10
18 Feb 2018
Ffos Llas 4.10 1 Krakatoa King - 1 point win @ 4/1 / 10 Streets Of Promise @ 16/1 (Lads / Coral / PP / Sky - odds to 4th place)a tough test in The Ffos Llas mud over 3 miles, of the market princi...
Read More →Ascot 4.10
17 Feb 2018
Valueman - Ascot 4.10 2 Templeross @ 5/1 / 12 Clondaw Bisto @ 16/1(1/2 point each way each horse) Ascot has been a battle all winter may be due to inaccurate Going and Weather descriptions/forec...
Read More →Newbury 1.50
10 Feb 2018
Newbury 1.50 7 King Uther @ 5/1 (see staking explanation in tips logic)This race sees the anticipated return of Barters Hill and the very useful The Eagle Has Landed also returns aftera tendon injury....
Read More →Huntingdon 3.55
08 Feb 2018
Huntingdon 3.55 7 Pennywell @ 11/2 + 11 Minella Whisper @ 20/1 (25's early in places)The rails are moved out here to find some decent ground so stamina on the Going and extended distances willbe a vit...
Read More →Newcastle 3.50
05 Feb 2018
Newcastle 3.50 4 Log On - 1 point each way @ 15/2 (generally)I want to take on the pair who head the market. Titian Boy runs for a yard searching for form and despiteHughes riding here I think the Cou...
Read More →Chepstow 3.20
02 Feb 2018
Chepstow 3.20 3 Billy Hicks + 2 Molly Carew - both 1 point each way @ 6/1 (Lads / Coral / Sky - odds to 4th)This could turn out to be a decent race over just shy of 2 miles and 4 furlongs on Heavy Goi...
Read More →Lingfield 2.40
30 Jan 2018
Lingfield 2.40 7 General Girling @ 16/1 / 11 Burgess Dream @ 10/1 (1/4 point each way on each horse ; sadly no enhanced places so odds to 3rd place)UPDATED at 8.45am - apparently SKYBET paying "odds t...
Read More →Hereford 2.40
29 Jan 2018
Hereford 2.40 5 Captain Jack - 1 point each way @ 7/1(see notes re Tricast Perm and specifically Catcher On The Go)The front market pair here Snapdragon Fire at 5/2 and All Is Good from the in form Di...
Read More →Warwick 2.00
25 Jan 2018
Good MorningThe 2.00 at Warwick is uber tricky and no doubt the market leaders Whiskey Chaser and The Artful Cobblerwill take all the beating, both are in form and both yards are in RED HOT form, yet ...
Read More →Huntingdon 1.30
12 Jan 2018
Huntingdon 1.30 3 Balibour @ 11/2 (see staking/logic)I have a small stake in a few Ian Williams Racing Club horses (with Ian of SP2A) and we have been made awarethat most of the horses have been havin...
Read More →Taunton 2.10
09 Jan 2018
Taunton 2.10 3 Rolling Dylan - 1 point each way @ 8/1Most of these would need Soft Going at worst; as advertised, rather than what the Going Stick indicates, so we will look for somethingthat is prove...
Read More →Sandown 3.00
06 Jan 2018
Sandown 3.00 2 Gas Line Boy @ 5/1 / 1 Perfect Candidate @ 10/1 (1 point each way each - most major Bookies odds to 5th place).This is always a great spectacle and many a fool has written Pete The...
Read More →Bangor 3.20
04 Jan 2018
Bangor 3.20 5 Arden Dennis each way @ 8/1 / 11 Young Lou each way @ 14/1(SkyBet currently enhance to 4th place but check before using as 2 early non runners have reduced field)(all 2018 bets are as ad...
Read More →Friday 22nd December
22 Dec 2017
Ayr 12.30 3 Vertigo - each way @ 7/1 (SkyBet go odds to 4th place - enhanced race)(For staking suggestions see logic + few more pointers)The 12.30 at Ayr is uber tricky, moderate but half a dozen with...
Read More →Exeter 1.35
21 Dec 2017
Exeter 1.35 8 Looks Like Power @ 8/1 / 10 Triple Chief @ 8/1 (1/4 point e/w both)I picked TRIPLE CHIEF three weeks ago when it won at Taunton over Hurdles when given a superb rideby Bryony Frost; it h...
Read More →Ffos Llas 1.00
18 Dec 2017
Ffos Llas 1.00 5 Fiscal Space - 1/4 point each way @ 14/1The market Leaders in the 1.00 at Ffos Llas are understandably led by Oxwich Bay and even at odds onit looks the one to beat, however, it has y...
Read More →Exeter 1.35
08 Dec 2017
Exeter 1.35 10 Alberto D'Olivate - each way @ 10/1 - 1/2 point each way- The trip is 2 miles and 6 furlongs, soft Going and expected to be "dead ground". The steep uphill climbhas to be tackled twice,...
Read More →Wincanton 2.40
07 Dec 2017
Wincanton 2.40 1 Shanann Star @ 14/1 / 9 Snowball @ 10/1 - 1/4 point e/w each - SkyBet odds to 4thThe most competitive race of the day, if moderate and in likely worsening conditions I think 3 longer ...
Read More →Newbury 3.35
01 Dec 2017
Newbury 3.35 11 This Is It @ 14/1 / 10 Beneagles @ 5/1(BetVictor + SkyBet go odds to 4th place - see notes for Tricast Perm suggestion)The most competitive race of the day and hard to rule many out. T...
Read More →Taunton 3.20
30 Nov 2017
Taunton 3.20 3 Triple Chief @ 12/1 / 7 Dunns River @ 16/1 (generally) (1/2 point each way each horse - all Bookies go odds to 4th place)Many in this field are "summer jumpers" who have had decent...
Read More →Fontwell 2.05
19 Nov 2017
Fontwell 2.05 8 Fergal Mael Duin @ 5/1 / 10 Cyclop @ 8/1 - 1/2 point e/w eachFitness is the prime consideration together with experience of this quirky track for selections of FERGAL MAEL D...
Read More →Bangor On Dee 12.40
15 Nov 2017
Bangor On Dee 12.40 9 Just Georgie - 1/2 point each way @ 8/1All looks set for a good run from the Sue Smith trained JUST GEORGIE; a progressive horse whowill benefit like most from the yard for seaso...
Read More →Carlisle 2.05
13 Nov 2017
Carlisle 2.05 4 Meadowcraft Boy @ 7/1 / 5 Idder @ 13/2 (1/2 point e/w each - LADS / CORAL - odds to 4th*)(see specific staking information below)This race sees enhanced odds to 4th from Ladbrokes and ...
Read More →Friday 10th November
10 Nov 2017
Hexham 2.40 2 Princess Mononoke @ 7/2 (1 point win)Hexham 3.10 2 Letemgo @ 11/1 / 13 Poetic Presence @ 16/1 (1/2 point each way each horse) (Lad/Coral/Sky - odds to 4th)I am in the unusual position of...
Read More →Chepstow 3.10
08 Nov 2017
Chepstow 3.10 9 Waterloo Warrior @ 7/1 (1 point e/w) / 6 Say My Name @ 16/1 (1/2 point each way)(as with Robin keen to take on the favourite Daklondike and have a win saver if you wish - Ian).I think ...
Read More →Exeter 3.05
07 Nov 2017
3.05 3 Royal Palladium @ 12/1 (B365/PP) / 7 Wizards Bridge @ 11/1 (B365 / PP) - 1/4 point each way bothThe 3.05 is a compelling, unfathomable and strange race, anything could win and I just don'tsee t...
Read More →Chepstow 2.20
31 Oct 2017
Chepstow 2.20 5 Princess Roania - 1/2 point each way @ 9/1 (odds to 4th place)Princess Roania has the advantage of race fitness in a competitive little race over 2 miles. The favourites lookopposable ...
Read More →Ayr 3.15
30 Oct 2017
Ayr 3.15 5 Letmego (1/4 point each way @ 25/1*)The 3.15 is over an extended 3 miles for Conditional Jockeys and the Russell pair of SPOILS OF WARand RIVABODIVA will be the ones most likely to win in m...
Read More →Carlisle 4.55
26 Oct 2017
Carlisle 4.55 3 Princess Mononoke - 1 point each way @ 10/1 (see notes re Turtle Cask)The step up to 2 and a half miles looks ideal for the McCain horse PRINCESS MONONOKE a 3 mile Point2 Point winner,...
Read More →Exeter 3.20
24 Oct 2017
Exeter 3.20 8 Zephyros Bleu - 1/2 point e/way @ 12/1 (WH / B365) / 10 Umberto D'Olivate 1/2 point e/way @ 11/1 (B365/Sky)(all Bookies go odds to 4th place in this race)What a tough race this is, 3 mil...
Read More →Pontefract 3.20
23 Oct 2017
Pontefract 3.20 3 Royal Shaheen - 1/2 point e/w @ 6/1 + 7 Silvery Moon - 1/2 point e/w @ 10/1ROYAL SHAHEEN won over Course and Distance in this grade off a mark of 77; was then 4th and by no means dis...
Read More →York 5.00
14 Oct 2017
York 5.00 5 Blue Hussar - 1 point each way @ 11/1 (all bookies odds to 4th / SkyBet to 5th)I will start off by saying that I am having a one point win saver on COEUR DE LION, he should be runnin...
Read More →Doncaster 1.50
15 Sep 2017
Valueman - Doncaster 1.50 12 Tomyris - 1 point each way @ 7/1Horse has some good solid form on soft going and plenty of showers should ensure that the going does not dryout too much. The Trainer is in...
Read More →Ripon 3.10
04 Sep 2017
Ripon 3.10 5 Redicean @ 6/1 / 2 Tamayuz Magic - 1 point each way @ 11/1 (SkyBet odds to 4th)A nice competitive middle distance race and REDICEAN looks a typical O'Meara improver, it will need to perku...
Read More →Thirsk 4.40
01 Sep 2017
Thirsk 4.40 5 My Dad Syd @ 6/1 (Favourite Treat)the following race is over 7 furlongs and a Class 4 race and again very competitive .FIELDSMAN at around 4/1 is a worth favourite but not on a particula...
Read More →Chelmsford 4.20
31 Aug 2017
Chelmsford City 4.20 7 Cahar Fad - 1 point each way @ 14/1 (PP/BV)I can't ignore the Course form of Cahar Fad here is a field of very moderate horses with far less AWexperience. Cahar Fad knows how to...
Read More →Carlisle 5.15
29 Aug 2017
Carlisle 5.15 1 Short Work @ 6/1 / 11 Ypres - 1/2 point each way @ 11/1 (Lad/Coral/Sky - odds to 4th)A tricky sprint but plenty of formlines between these. SHORT WORK won last time and is penalised bu...
Read More →Newmarket 4.25
26 Aug 2017
Newmarket 4.25 1 Lancelot Du Lac @ 9/1 / 5 Intisaab @ 20/1 - 1/2 point e/w (Lad/Coral odds to 4th)Lancelot Du Lac was most impressive last time of unfavourable ground and is still on a nice mark;a dra...
Read More →York 1.55
25 Aug 2017
York 1.55 2 Red Galileo @ 7/1 / 15 Londinium @ 9/1 - 1 - point each way both (odds to 4th place)A lovely handicap to start and the trip will be the telling factor for many of these horses. I really li...
Read More →York 4.50
24 Aug 2017
York 4.50 1 Lincoln Rocks / 13 Ghadaayer - both 1 point each way @ 10/1 (PP odds to 4th / Skybet to 5th)There is always the risk in these races that some fillies are "over the top" and others can sudd...
Read More →Windsor 5.50
21 Aug 2017
Windsor 5.50 3 Lexington Law @ 13/2 (BV/SkyBet)Although associated with the winter game, Alan King always delivers with his small Flat string and inLEXINGTON LAW has a horse of some potential in this ...
Read More →Newbury 3.00
19 Aug 2017
Newbury 3.00 6 Sir Roderic - each way @ 20/1 (PP/BV) (Sky odds to 5th)A lot of rain at Newbury yesterday and a bit of a headwind so this straight 7 furlongs will bea real test, especially if they go o...
Read More →Nottingham 5.50
25 Jul 2017
Nottingham 5.50 3 Arithmetic - each way @ 7/1The soft Going and the trip of 10 furlongs may catch a few out and the track usually favours thoseup near the front, I am not sure about the trip n this gr...
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All tips recorded to SP (Starting Price). Results on a 1pt level stakes basis.