Thirsk 4.50

By UK Flat / AW (Northern)

NORTHERN - Thirsk 4.50 Handicap - Class 5 - 7 furlongs - 14 run - Good to Firm
 
At the head of the market Rocket Rod gets a penalty for a win at Doncaster last time when everything went right, it may follow up but at the price i'm keen to take it on, Biplane steps up from Class 6 into deeper waters and again I'm happy to oppose it.
 
Hold Your Dreams is a nice 3 year old but may need the rain to come based on some turf form, Lilikoi and Temper Trap are both in the TRACKER system, Lilikoi is solid if an infrequent winner and Temper Trap who is back to the sort of mark it had a great spell off last year may just need a mile and will need a fast pace and luck in running but the one i fear the most of the non selections.
 
One More Dream and Blackjack are best at the moment on AW surfaces.
 
Two caught my eye at big odds and I would suggest BOTH are worth a 1/2 point each way based on value and potential to run better than the market suggests in a race where there are more reasons NOT to back most than confident reasons to back them (with the possible exception of TEMPER TRAP).
 
CARLTON AND CO runs for the Easterbys and will come on for seasonal debut, its crying out for 7 furlongs now I think and off a nice mark, PANAMA CITY is also in the TRACKER based on a win at Beverley over an extended 7 furlongs last year, it hasn't repeated that form but had excuses last time and should now be capable of moving upwards and onwards at this grade if that Beverley form can be repeated. At the price, I'm happy to take a chance.
 
Tips (1) Carlton And Co (2) Panama City