Thirsk 2.50

 

A bit of rain about and always here you ponder the draw but the majority evidence favours middle to high in such conditions.

 

I narrowed down to about half of the field initially and can't see great value in three towards the head of the market so I'll pass over for today on Enderman, So Grateful and Brazen Idol, all in very decent form but all three seem to always find one too good. It may actually be a canny Tricast to have a small perm on those though for their consistency if that scratches your itch like it does mine!

 

Keep Me Happy is a progressive 3 year old who will definitely be a danger Dyln Lad is one I will definitely be TRACKing, it may just need this run today but has slipped to a nice mark and the Yard do very well with a small string and I fancy this one will be winning soon.. QWICKEN at very big odds is well worth an "exchange bet" it's best ever run was its first ever run and on the Track, its not delivered much since but may now be on a realistic mark and as a 3 year old still has scope, I can see it out-running very big odds.

 

I was left with a final 4 and will play them accordingly.

 

HARD SOLUTION has had a couple of runs and past evidence suggests they will have been needed to sharpen the horse up. It's on its last win mark of 52 and with Danny Tudhope up for David O'Meara couldn't be in better hands and i think it's actually overpriced and no excuses from its draw. CANARIA PRINCE gets close to the nearside rail in 19, and was unlucky here on seasonal debut placing 3rd at 100/1 , its run a couple of solid races since and very much appeals off a mark of 49, especially if high numbers hold sway.

 

SHES A DEVA is drawn in the centre, clear signs of returning to form last time for an in form Yard and looks to have a solid each way chance. At big odds too I think FORESEEABLE FUTURE is over-priced, it drops in trip as it's been running prominently and not getting home over further. A draw in 17 could give it a rail to run up and IF its the right rail and it doesn't turn soft then it's on a very dangerous mrk and will be able to go full throttle at this trip to the line.

TRACKERS - Hard Solution + Canaria Prince / shrapnel - She's A Diva + Foreseeable Future (I'm happy to stake on 4 given the enhanced place odds in a big field)