Catterick 4th October
By UK Flat / AW (Northern)
NORTHERN - Catterick
4.20 Handicap Class 6 - 2 miles - 12 run - Soft
This is a compressed market with 5-6 at the bottom end of the betting, basically NH horses having a fitness spin. It would be nice to try to find one of them at a nice price who could "pop up" but I'm damned if I can other than Milltown Lily who looks a bit tight in the market.. A few fancy types at the very top of the market but i really do like the look of SUPER CANDLE who has shown promise over the trip in soft at Ffos Llas and TURBAT NESS who is a Distance winner off marks of 46 and 48 and who should be competitive enough to be involved in this off a mark of 51 if you want a forecast
Tips (1) Super Candle
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5.20 Handicap - Class 5 - 1 mile 4 furlongs - 10 run - Soft
The one they all have to beat is TARRAFF for the Crisford yard and if you want a win saver feel free but I have a couple rated closely enough at better e/w Odds I'm more keen on.
Valley of Flowers is upped 5lbs for a nice win at Ayr, Richard P Smith will be a danger too but i'm not sure about the extra distance here. The Dancing Poet is clear 3rd rated on my analysis but may be best in Class 6 despite a good Course record in these conditions. At BIG Odds The trip and ground at ideal for Edwina Sheeran but the mark now looks excessive but it's one who could find that conditions are so ideal that it can run a place. Have a small shrapnel if you can get on at double figure odds if you feel like you want some extra investment.
My clear top 2 rated though are DON'T LOOK BACK who ticks every box for me and who looks ready to strike and PORTORO who is a very nice eraly price on the back of some very positive signs and although a very quirky and still possible immature type, this one will be winning races in the next few years for sure and seems to have a real engine.
Tips (1) Don't Look Back (2) Portoro