Carlisle 2.30

 

There is a probability of heavy rain all morning and in to the afternoon, hopefully we won;t see a decimated field but there is a significant switch of draw bias here from low to high in the wet and I can't resist a tilt at an early market that may not yet have cottoned on. 

 

DREAM TOGETHER in Stall 16 would be favourite in any conditions and is tactically versatile Going wise and at the trip and I will have an investment either way.

 

KING OF TONGA drawn in the middle, Stall 10, has form from 5 and a half to 7 furlongs, gets perfect Stall IF rain comes or not, can handle soft and has proven stamina up this hill so can't be safely ignored.

 

Merry Secret who won last time out and drawn 15 is going to be a danger and a couple also drawn high GHATHANFAR for Tracy Waggot who also won last time out drawn 17 and OK in soft also looks solid each way material.

 

At a very big price is FOX HILL for Eric Alston, a Yard long associated with soft conditions, its best form is on rain affected Going, ts down to a win mark, had a few runs, looks likely to improve for the rain and drawn in Stall 12 looks a compelling each way bet to enhanced places if enough hold their ground. In case they don't I'd STRONGLY suggest having a small win and a separate PLACE bet on the exchanges, as once the "place money" is on you aren't affected by non-runners. 

 

TIP - Dream Together - / TRACKER - King Of Tonga / Shrapnel - Ghathanfor (Place bet on Exchanges if you can on FOX HILL or shrapnel e/w if you can't bet exchanges)