Ayr 3.00

By UK Flat / AW (Northern)

NORTHERN - Ayr 3.00 Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 4 and 1/2 furlongs - 13 run - Soft
 
A fair few in here have very strong e/w chances.
 
Weavers Answer at the top of the market is solid if unspectacular but there is considerable value elsewhere. Follow Charlie is also feared but not great each way value and I very reluctantly leave out KIngston Rock whose yard is in cracking form but who has given out mixed messages about the trip and Lewa House who was a Course and Distance runner up on penultimate start and who gets the capable assistance of charlotte Jones and her 3lbs Clim. One other to note is Kilkee Royal, a very dark horse from Ireland with no great form from a Yard that frankly I have barely heard of, they certainly aren't coming over for a day out though, I suspect that there may be a late gamble on this if it's anything like a plot job!
 
I'm most keen on BEAT THE RETREAT, a Course winner at 2 miles and 2 furlongs who has stepped up nicely to this trip on recent starts and who looks progressive and CITY DERBY who eases in Grade and is off a competitive looking mark here. The booking of brian Hughes does little to dampen enthusiasm. 
 
If you want an added shrapnel bet to enhanced places then EDEN MILL just gets the nod over Lewa House, EDEN MILL has wins off marks of 77 and 79, return to drying ground will be a bonus and looks a nice e/w price.
 
Tips (1) Beat The Retreat / (2) City Derby / (3s) Eden Mill