Ayr 1.30

 

I'm concerned about the frost and transport issues here and there are no less than 5 horses in the Tracker.

 

Of those I most like the consistent JESSIEMAC and the frustrating YOUR PLACE and if push came to shove I'd prefer YOUR PLACE today. I'll Watch the other three, Pipers Cross (new trip), Journey West (Irish form but a danger here) and Kalaharry (possibly regressing) for another day.

 

Arnica may just still need the run but would be a danger on old form, You Some Boy would be a tip apart from the fact it ran inexplicably poorly last time as if there was something amiss and I just want to see the horse run a good healthy race before actually investing again, but on recent form prior to that last one it would hold very solid claims. Master Of The Malt stayed on at Carlile over an extended trip last time and would have chances if able to replicate that here. Paramaribo is an ex Flat horse upped in trip so in a competitive race the stamina query is a big one for me. Faithful Flyer may just be in the grip of the handicapper now and I;m just not sure about its Course record.

 

SHANTOU MOON looks very solid as it ran well and won upped to 2 miles 6 furlongs last time and wasn't stopping at the line.

 

The pair I most like to Follow it home are MY STRONG MAN who has run well and prominently at 3 miles before a few times, didn't stay 3 miles 3 furlongs last time but I think that will have told them a lot about how to optimise chances at this trip and FORTCANYON whose P2P credentials we flagged up last time and some very good collateral P2P form and who looks very well handicapped here off a mark of 95 with a 5lbs claim

 

TIPS (1) Shantou Moon (win) / (2) My Strong Man / (3) Fortcanyon (if n/rs then consider YOUR PLACE). if a lot of non-runners reduces field significantly consider 1 + 2 choice tips only