Ayr - Thursday 6th October
By UK Flat / AW (Northern)
NORTHERN - Ayr Meeting
I've had a scan through and a good look at 3 races and have identified some well handicapped mud lovers with proven stamina at their respective trips who really should be out running early Odds today.
1.15 DUNDORY looks worth a "win saver" with form figures of 1-2-4-4-1-2 very consistent form and has won over further on soft ground.
Hilts has soft ground winning form too but the handicap mark looks the issue for me here and I do prefer a couple from the Mike Smith yard (he has a cracking chance of some decent results today across the board by the way if you want to play in Placepots and Accumulators)
FLYING MOON is a Course and Distance winner back on it's last winning mark and has won on Heavy ground here, I just prefer to stablemate ROYAL REGENT another course and Distance winner off a mark of 59 who also runs best in soft ground.
TRACKER - Flying Moon / shrapnel - Royal Regent (win saver Dundory)
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2.25 Mr Sundowner and Royal Countess could pop up in these conditions at big prices and of the pair i will have a £1 e/w bet on ROYAL COUNTESS. Chinese Spirit is another who could outrun odds in the mud.
MAC AILEY though ticks all the right boxes for me, it's had a disappointing campaign and let me down a few times but finally gets the mud it loves and really no excuses here off this mark today. Stablemate Little Ted is possibly better over further but has placed off higher marks and if they do go off a bit too quickly this one could stay on in to a place.
TRACKER - Mac Ailey / shrapnel - Royal Countess
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Ayr 5.15 , this extended 13 furlongs could be a real slog by the time of the final race and not many really have proven form at the trip in the mud.
SOCIALLY SHADY ran very well over further here last time and has proven it can handle Good to Soft, the drop in trip should suit and it's certainly one who looks to have a sporting chance.
AIGHEAR ran well here to win last time and gets a penalty, its one that has to be produced late but the proven stamina and preference for the underfoot conditions should take it a long way.
TRACKERS - Aighear + Socially Shady