Wednesday 8th May
By SP2A Analysis
Kelso-:
1.40 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 4 - 2 miles 6 and 1/2 furlongs - 15 run - Good
A fair few to seriously consider here including Idem and Billy Boy Blue (BBB on handicap debut) at the top of the market, Brandy McQueen has run well fresh and was clear 3rd rated in my analysis, so a handy reserve if either selection is a non runner. Harper Valley drops back into Class 4 and should be winning races at some point, Pure Sirloin has a squeak on best Irish form and has run well fresh so noted. At big Odds, Ilikethewayurthinkin has dropped to a very low mark considering past form but has become quite sour wit the game, 20lbs below peak though and just the type to may be have a few bob on each way as if it finds a level it is seriously well handicapped.
My clear top 2 rated though are DREAM BOY; a staying on 4th at the tRack last time at 2 miles 5 furlongs, has some early career 3 mile P2P form so this new trip looks absolutely logical and it will be disappointing if we aren't bang in contention here. SWALLOW SONG is a bigger price but returns back to Hurdles off a very nice mark and I'm sure will have been schooled well so may not need too long to transition back.
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3.10 Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 5 furlongs - 16 run - Good
A few interesting handicap debutants and more inexperienced types here. Call Me Jack has form figures of 1-2-1-1 and has gone from a mark of 77 up to 86, runs off 92 today and at 2/1 I think can be taken on. Arctic Lodge lacks race fitness so may be vulnerable, Boot N Shoe and Dirk Gently look like race winners of the not too distant future but may both just benefit from this run, and I could give Ritson a sporting squeak on best form.
I' most confident though about FAITHFUL FLYER a Course winner at 2 miles off a mark of 92, placed and seemingly very comfortable at 3 miles off marks just north of 100, this trip looks idea; he's race fit and really has no excuses off a mark of 98. FIADH is a more speculative punt but is below it's last winning mark when using cheekpieces and the type to run a place if putting it all in and anything around 16/1 would be cracking value.
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FONTWELL 7.10 - Handicap Chase - Class 5 - 3 miles 2 furlongs- 13 run - Good to Soft
They had a lot of rain here over the weekend and it might be tackier than advertised.
Joe Cotton is progressive but the trip poses a big question. Getupearly has yet to convince as a Chaser and may come on again for this experience. River Tyne is knocking at the door and was clear 3rd rated if you want a reserve option if we have a non runner. Cloudy Flamingo showed improved form last time out. Uallrightharry a Course and Distance winner in the past and last time off a reduced mark of 86 is best in this type of ground so hard to discount and I'd treat him similarly to Ilikdwayurthinkin at Kelso.
Clear top rated though are SEYMOUR PROMISE who finally clicked last time at Taunton, a 6lbs rise is not excessive and this could be the type to run up a sequence off increasing marks. TWENTY TWENTY is a classic Moore type, you could politely call "mercurial" others may say "inconsistent", it may be a going day, especially off a mark back below 100!
(All selections RT)