Tuesday 6th May
By SP2A Analysis
Ffos Llas 4.00 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 4 furlongs - 12 run - Good to Soft
A decent field here and Getuptheyard is a vulnerable looking favourite, best form is at Chepstow and one I think we can take on. Goguenard is back hurdling and there are slithers of good form but he just seems becalmed in terms of a competitive handicap mark, so another who I think lacks market value. All Under Control has been very inconsistent, has moved Yard and Sean Bowen gets the ride, the horse has reportedly suffered in the past from ulcers, and until it shows some form is perhaps one to be wary of, in full health though would be a definite danger.
I'm most keen on COUP DE GOLD, Eleanor Williams claims 7lbs for her dad Evan, and this Distance winner off a mark of 84 runs off a mark of 80, with the 7lbs Claim so looks very well handicapped and primed for a big run. At bigger Odds, I certainly think a small e/w on PRESENTING NELLY who was winning off a mark of 104 a year ago, and who has dropped to a mark of 88 , is well worth a small put at odds of 28-33/1 - these mares can just pop up and her best form would see here at least a stone well in. (Robin)
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Worcester 7.18 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 4 - 14 run - Good
There are around half a dozen here at the top end of the market from big Yards who deserve serious consideration and who are hard to split.
Twist Of Fatecatch for the Mulholland yard makes handicap debut after an impressive win last time, Jackpot Cash is one of those improved markedly by the up and coming Trainer James Owen and is up another 8lbs here, Campaign Trail has a solid profile but I feel this trip just stretches the limit of his stamina, Groovy Blue makes handicap debut for Ben Pauling and could be anything, whilst the more exposed Kado De Jolie for Henderson just needs a bit of help from the handicapper and Liverpool Knight for Fergal O'Brien is a very solid contender despite top weight. It's very hard to split those and whilst the logical head says that the 1--2-3 will come from that list, a few at bigger prices really do have some potential nuggets of form.
So I will have a couple of small e/w bets on EVERYONESGAME a Course and Distance winner off a mark of 126 a couple of years ago, out of form of late but surely a mark of 116 can elicit some sort of return to form and the booking of Harry Cobden catches my eye. TEORIE battled well up the Exeter hill last time on its second run after a wind operation, which bodes well, as does the slight drop in trip on a flatter Track here and with plenty going to 4th place, a small investment is suggested.
I also note that Minella Double at around 33/1 was a Course and Distance winner here at 40/1 last season and off a mark 3lbs lower with a 5lbs Claimer may be one to TRACK forwards for the Summer Meetings here as he may just need the spin round tonight (RJ)
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