Tuesday 26th November
By SP2A Analysis
Tramore 1.50 Mares Handicap Hurdle - 2 miles 5 furlongs - 15 run - Heavy
This is a right handed turning track with a circuit less than a mile and although there are a few steep ascents and descents it rides pretty fairly but does suit Course specialists.
The top 4 in the market all have vulnerabilities I feel in the heavy ground and in terms of fitness and these Mares can as we know peak at certain times of the year and in specific conditions.
Outside of the top 4, Killinure Lass reverts to Hurdles but is 10lbs above her last winning Hurdle mark, Lilian Bland is on a nice Hurdles mark and rated a real danger but on balance she is better too over the larger obstacles.
I was left with a very clear top 3 and of them preference is for CRUISIN SUSAN who was 3rd in this rate last season off a mark of 90, a Course and Distance winner who will handle the ground off a mark of 93 with a 7 lbs Claimer on board. YOBO has won on heavy and soft ground has also won in November, so this might be her time and with a prominent running style can get a few out of their comfort zone and if they get the fractions right early 25/1 looks cracking each way value to 4 places. My 3rd rated IF you want to play the enhanced places is LUCKY VIV who has placed off marks of 102 and 107 on soft and heavy and who has decent Course form. (Michael)
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Tramore 2.20 Handicap Hurdle - 2 miles 5 furlongs - 16 run - Heavy
The top pair are a bit too short for my liking or for a confident win bet, Rochester returns off a 219 days break and Beggars Rock may be vulnerable in the Heavy ground. Carrig Carol was a decent 5th in this meeting last year but has disappointed since but rates a bigger danger.
I'm very keen on a couple at nice Odds and they are HE FITZ IN, a drop in trip and return to winter ground will suit this one, they retain blinkers which perked him up a bit last time on first go in them and he has an eye catching handicap mark currently of 89 boosted by a 7lbs claimer. I AM ROCCO just got the nod as 2nd Rated, one who has been in 2 powerhouse Yards, looks the type who can win races once it finds the right level and I think a mark around this level could be the key. The 3rd rated if you want to play enhanced places with some reserves about too is DANESFORT MAYFLY who has form figures of 5-5-5 and just needs that little bit of luck in running to turn those finishes in to actual places or perhaps even a win. (Sean)
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Tramore 3.20 Handicap Chase - 2 miles 5 and 1/2 furlongs - 14 run - Heavy
I think that Bite That who has trip and Going concerns and Ishan who returns off a 266 days break and who on past evidence may need the run here are vulnerable at the top of the market. Garcon Deux makes a belated chase debut but will be a danger if showing some solid Hurdles form and was my biggest danger in terms of analysis. Da Big Fella has a race in him but jumping remains a concern, Roman Parish is another danger at decent odds and ran better last time but the Going is a genuine concern. Had Plain Or Battered had a run he'd be a tip here so I've added him to the TRACKER from today.
My clear top 2 rated though are STARLIGHT CATO who needed a recent seasons debut run and will come on for it. I think this is an ideal opportunity off a nice mark and Going and trip can't be held as an excuse. C'EST RIEN won over Course and Distance in August on Good ground but has disappointed since, Danny Mullins retains the ride and back here I think a mark of 86 is not the issue and neither will be the ground, so I will be very disappointed if he's not back in the top 3 today.
If there is a lurker to enhanced places off a basement mark it's old favourite FR GILLIGANS VOYAGE always one to nick a place if they all tie up off a silly pace. (Michael)
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