Thursday 30th May

FFOS LlAS 5.10 Mares Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 3 miles - 12 run - Good

 

There are many in with chances here including Bridget Mary , who has built up a nice sequence of runs, Faerie Cutlass, who is upped in trip, Of Course You Can , also upped in trip and the likes of Valentine Getaway, Luna Run and Milanese Rose, who all come from in form and dangerous Yards. 

 

I'm really drawn though to a pair at much bigger prices and RUBY'S REWARD who has won off a mark of 74, placed off 81 and 82 and who has had a nice seasonal debut spin round, looks to be well handicapped off a mark of 79. However at very big Odds, I cannot ignore ELFRIDE, back to her last winning mark, an improved run last time which suggested she was running into some form and of course, that last win was in May last season, so she hits the "mares season" mark, spot on! (DT)

 

WARWICK 7.40 Handicap Chase - Class 5 - 3 miles - 12 run - Good

 

Dusatoir is the one to beat but may need a bit more juice in the ground, Getupearly is becoming / has become a cliff horse but will pop up one day!.

 

I think the banker e/w here; is PILOT SHOW who may be very one paced but who is a solid jumper usually and I think this TRack will suit it's relentless gallop style. 

 

At bigger Odds, I'm adding Head On to the TRACKER as I can see glimmers of a return to the 2021 form before an 18 month break, but the one I will have a punt on today is the very consistent COBRA COMMANDER who has won off marks of 75 and 84, has had a couple of runs and so should be ready to roll now and a mark of 77 looks very decent and competitive. (DT)

 

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FAIRYHOUSE 5.30 Apprentice Handicap - 1 mile 2 furlongs - 18 run - Good

 

Master Dunraven is in the TRACKER (see below) and gets an 8lbs penalty for a win last time when we suggested Tracking him. I'll leave any investment in him to the TRACKER comments below. 

 

Out On Friday has a good Course record but may need this and Alma Libre won the race last year but had run twice before that win and coms here fresh and that just put me off.

 

I'm most keen on 4 horses, I'll narrow it to 3 but explain why the 4th should not be discounted entirely, but the reason for leaving him out.

 

I think the top 2 and ones to beat are COMPLETE FICTION who ran very well last year on turf and who has had a run recently and for whom Stall 19 may be an advantage, and STORM ERIC who may be better on the AW but who will be a strong contender here from Stall 18.

 

At big odds, based purely on the draw, I would favour BARRY'S ROCK who was runner up in this race last year off a similar preparation on the AW but whose Turf form is far superior to AW form and Stall 11 gives it tactical options. I am very clear though that at bigger odds currently HASTEN SLOWLY should be a very serious horse here and I'll be disappointed if the draw doesn't scupper it's chances and on form alone it should be finishing in the top 6-7 home I feel as a 1 mile win at Naas suggests it can run well on turf and it gets this trip on the AW and looks very well handicapped on that turf form. (MG) (tips are first 3 rated but with enhanced places I'll be going with the 4.)