Monday 26th May
By SP2A Analysis
Windsor 4.30 - Handicap - Class 3 - 1 mile 2 furlongs - 14 run - Good / Good to Soft
This track, a bit like Worcester, always gets well irrigated from the nearby River in dry spells so I think Good with possibly Good to Soft patches if any more rain falls is going to be a pretty accurate Going description. It's a typically competitive Windsor handicap and as a result I'm happy to oppose both Magico and the hat-trick seeking City of Delight at the top of the market. With 14 declared some bookies will enhance to 4th place and a couple who I considered long and hard were Let's Dream, a Chester winner last time, but I do feel that was a very canny ride and win catching the field cold off the front, the other one i noted and will TRACK forwards in the TRACKER after today is High Point, a Course and Distance winner who is fit from the AW, would probably welcome more rain than we may get but one to keep an eye on if we have an inevitable wetter spell in the next few weeks.
My top 2 rated are; HOUSTONN a Course and Distance winner off a mark of 85, dropped back to what I think is the ideal trip today and a real danger despite a high draw and KOTARI who had a hat trick of wins last season rising from a mark of 73 to 82 in the process including in Class 2, bac to a mark of 80 and after a recent seasonal debut which was needed, I think this horse can go on another winning streak soon.
If either are a non runner, or if you fancy a further bash at enhanced places then my 3rd best rated is EXPERT WITNESS who has been runner up and won on last 2 visits here off marks of 75 and 79 , I don't think a mark of 83 is above its possible ceiling and the course form is a big tick in the right box (RJ)
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Cartmel 3.30 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 2 - 3 miles 1/2 furlong - 13 run - Good
It's not hard to envisage Our Sam outrunning odds of 28/1 in first time cheekpieces nor Curley Finger, who is down to a nice mark and who has a first time visor, outrunning odds of 22/1 and both were seriously considered. I will add Sea The Clouds to the TRACKER after today, this one could be a nice recruit for local Trainer James Moffatt. Up For Parol is another dangerous contender though he may just need the tun and a few pounds back from the handicapper.
It's hard to ignore the excellent Course form though of TOMMI BEAU and CITY DERBY and both look to have been primed for this and are certainly well handicapped to take advantage (Robin T)
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Redcar 5.45 - Handicap - Class 6 - 1 mile 2 furlongs - 14 run - Good to Firm
At the top end of the market both Jumeirah Vision and Kalkapour are interesting although the obvious one has to be YOUNG FIRE, runs off a mark of under 60, was winning a Class 4 race off a mark of 72 last September, clear signs of running back in to some sort of form last time and from a prolific yard that scoops up low Grade handicaps for fun.
Wait And Hope was a bit unlucky last time, not quite yet fired for the admirable Ruth Carr but a dangerous one who should be winning soon. Visitant is the sort to pop up at any time could be due, was my 4th best rated and not easily overlooked.
My top 3 are YOUNG FIRE and then IRV, a Course and Distance winner off 55 last year, unlucky and hampered in running last time , has dropped to a mark of 48 with a 3lbs Claimer and therefore very interesting and well handicapped back here. I decided to TRACK Wait And Hope and that was partly due to a hunch and certainly some clear analytical evidence that CURIOUS MRS FOX could be very well handicapped here off a mark of 46, stamina to prove, but her best Turf run was here over a mile and she wasn't stopping at the line and well worth a small e/w investment at any price above 33/1. (Northern)
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