Monday 23rd July

The weather forecast for Horse Racing consideration for the week looks horrific, very high temperatures up to 30 degrees and stifling unremitting heat. The only good point is that it looks like it will be a bit cooler up North and we have some great action in Yorkshire at the "Go Racing in Yorkshire Festival" and with some bits of rain, likely best fields and option will be up there.

There is Racing today at Ayr; Beverley; Cartmel (NH); Windsor and in Ireland, some decent fields BUT, very low Grade bookie fodder, but we will explore and try a new angle with 3 horses that would at best be 1/4 point singles but who combined may give us a bit of fun with a small accumulator. A PATENT covers 3 singles; 3 doubles and a treble; the maximum stake I would suggest is £1 e/w, so the bet costs £14, that would be MAXIMUM but if you want 50p units or lower than £1 it is your choice. I think e/w is paramount and the other point to make is probably best NOT to "get on immediately". I am always reluctant to advise any form of accumulator as a few hundred putting the same bets on in a small window can alert all kinds of Booking algorhythms, I don't envisage any price collapse, so get on any time before 5.25; BOG if you wish and if at all possible, place the bet cash in a good old fashioned Bookies. 

Cartmel 5.25  7 Snowed In, many will recall this starting 2018 in great style for us on New Years Day winning at about 8/1 from memory and advised at about double that. It is an infrequent winner but does well as the mark gets back down "in range" at 92 less a 7lbs claim it is just above its optimum win mark and finished runner up here off very similar with the same pilot last August. The price at around 10/1 (bit higher in places) looks very solid and wit that Course form and a bit of cut in the Good Going, worth a small poke.

Beverley 6.00 7 Sincerely Resdev - very early for 3 year olds to be running over 2 miles and in most cases you have to surmise that they are basically "slow plodders" and Trainers are trying more in hope than expectation. I had a decent look at the pedigrees of each and most look like their maximum trip is 12 furlongs. Two were of note, both on slightly more favourable 12 furlong pedigrees but also proven form at 14 furlongs and of the pair I just preferred Phil Kirby's SINCERELY RESDEV over the Hollinshead horse Enchanting Enya. If either are ridden to get the trip, my logic is they are more likely than anything else of pedigree and known form to get it. Hopefully it WON'T be a tactical dawdle.

Beverley 8.30 8 Justice Pleasing, has a nice solid mark and drawn in stall 7 is neither massively advantageous or a real problem. The Going is ideal; Trainer in form, just strikes me as the one they have to beat and my biggest worry would be Abushamah, just have a niggle that it is one of those Ruth Carr runners about to strike.

That's all I can safely suggest, would not put anyone off small reverse forecasts in the 2 races at Beverley for a few bob and the only other one I seriously consider at Ayr was Laughton in the opener who has to find a level soon off that kind of mark and a possible "market leader" Tricast in the 7.00 at Beverley, where I could not see beyond Flying Foxy; Musharrif and Scoundrel, nor indeed split them! (shrapnel bets if you are interested).