Monday 20th January
By SP2A Analysis
Warwick 2.08 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 4 - 3 miles 1 furlongs - 11 run - Good to Soft
Land Genie up 8lbs but progressive and impressive over Course and Distance last time for Skelton is the one to beat and at 9/4 - ish, if you wanted a win saver I would not put you off. He frames the market and as a result Ikarak is not a reasonable win or each way price for me and although they could easily finish 1-2, I'm happy to look elsewhere for each way value.
Warranty is in the TRACKER but up 6lbs for not winning but being consistent, Glimpse Of Gala is also in the TRACKER and with some Course and Distance form and back Hurdling in ideal conditions off what looks like a good mark was my 3rd best rated, so if you have a non-runner, one to bear in mind although with 10 or less runners if we had a non runner, probably stick to the one horse anyways.
Jalisco Star and East Street are penalised recent winners who I think may have done their winning for now and that leaves me with MINNIEMUM and I'M A STARMAN
MINNIEMUM ticks all the right each way boxes for me, Henry Daly is having a decent season and Sam Twiston-Davies rides this Course as well as anyone and the horse looks ready to place at least. I'M A STARMAN also has Course form and on a strict line would not be that far off Land Genie on strict interpretation of their recent race here and although I think Land Genie is progressive I'M A STARMAN would be a very solid place contender too. (Advisor)
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Warwick 2.40 - Novice Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 5 furlongs - 16 run - Good to Soft
Not a great deal of depth in this race and Emma Hamilton and Ideallko look like a solid 1-2 and worth a reverse F/Cast if you like a side punt. They dominate the market but something has to finish 3rd and in that regard GREENWAYS who has won over a similar trip at Hereford off a mark of 79 and who steps back up in trip off a mark of 83 looks very solid unless there is a real dark horse lurking there.
Of the rest one at a price who could give you a sporting run for an enhanced 4th place is LARKFIELD LUSIVE only a 190 day break puts me off this one who has some quietly hidden quite decent Irish form! (RJ)
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Ayr 1.50 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 5 and 1/2 furlongs - 14 run - Soft
This could be quite competitive and at the top end of the market i did not discard Anamanda, Santa Clarita, Cowboy Cooper or Maillot blanc lightly. I will TRACK Red Cadillac and Didntgotwenty forwards as both could have best days ahead of them. Billable Grant was an eye catcher last time and is clear 3rd best rated for me and a handy reserve you should invest in IF either of the 2 main selections are non-runners. I would also note the booking of Brian Hughes on 33/1 shot The Roc Hopper whose overall form makes it a strange option for the jockey!
My top 2 rated though did jump off the page the more i studied the race as being incredibly well handicapped and in optimum conditions.
TOPKAPI STAR is inconsistent but is about due and on past form in soft ground off this sort of mark and at this trip looks very well handicapped, I'll be disappointed if we don't get a return on some sort. EUCHAN FALLS who has course form from two and a half to 3 miles and who is similarly suited by conditions also gets the very capable assistance of Gavin Sheehan. I'll be surprised if others don't latch onto one or t'other of these during the morning so take an early price if you can (Northern)