THE PROFESSOR - my aim is to make a "net profit" for Clients in every race I tip/analyse. To best facilitate this, the proven method best suited

is to back each way or win and place. This is the way I have found best suits full time serious punters who are seeking consistent profit. The

Flat season is in its very early stages, on unusually wet ground and in all my analysis, I am looking for proof in those conditions, ideally

form in April period and also for Trainers likely to "hit the ground running". I have also in respect of Newmarket looked back at races where

the stalls are "stand side" on soft Going over the past 10 years and extracted from that, what I think is the likely draw bias. I think it important

to look at "draw bias" meeting by meeting / going by going" rather than to take a general view that its " x course" therefore it must be "y draw";

that is potentially misleading and in some ways lazy; so whilst not bomb proof, you may on some occasions, find me deviating from what you

think is the normal draw bias for a specific Track, I have in that case looked back at specific races in specific conditions with stalls in right

place to try to dig down a little deeper. I do think middle to high is the place to be today but you need prominent runners to best suit that;

In the 4.10 I think balancing all of that that SINFONETTA looks very good each way value. Has a nice mark, fine on soft and good to soft;

usually runs best races fresh and early in the season and one of those whose profile means it always starts the season on a good mark.

I like the Trainer a lot and with luck in running think that 10/1 (B365/Sky) represents solid value each way. ALMOREB is a little less 

exposed, won first time up last year for a yard that seems to get them ready sooner now that "junior" has taken over and all conditions

and mark suits. It is drawn lower but that may not be a massive problem if it can be ridden diligently in behind the front few.

Of the remainder; FIRE BRIGADE disappointed in the Lincoln but has ideal conditions today and they should have gleaned a fitness boost

from the Lincoln run. The addition of a tongue tie indicates the horse gurgled in the mud at Doncaster. Will need to be ridden tactically

from stall 1, so I think they will "drop in" and follow the pace for the first 1/2 mile. WITHERNSEA is one who is best in this Going on a 

straight track and from a Yard with an incredible record in this type of race. What it lacks in ability v the best here it will make up in 

fitness and at 25/1, and Sky going odds to 5th, just the type to stay on in to a place at nice odds, and that scenario is a nice profit angle.