Kilbeggan 6.45

SEAN - KIlbeggan 6.45 - Handicap Hurdle - 3 miles - Yielding - drying ground - 16 run
 
I'm very sweet on a couple at big e/w Odds and a couple I think are overpriced, especially on drying ground.
 
I think that Happy Jacky and Bradenstown Lad are worth adding to the TRACKER and like Ronald Pimp can revive at some point and win races later in the summer. I don't discount those three lightly. Birdie Blitz and Sweet Will will be dangerous rivals. At the top of the market I think there is not great value in Desert Heater (up 14lbs), Nine Graces (up 12 lbs) or Law Ella (up in trip) based on some very strong credentials and I think real e/w value for the 4 I am quietly confident about.
 
Elliott runs both LEVEL NEVERENDING and RUN FOR PAT and both will probably shorten in price as the day wears on. LEVEL NEVERENDING is eased in grade and a Course winner and with the claim is bang on a winning mark, I choose to ignore the last run for RUN FOR PAT on heavy going but if you look at the penultimate run on this sort of going, I think the horse has a great chance here off a mark of 117 with a 7lbs Claim just a pound above that winning mark.
 
The pair at long odds I'm really bullish about running big races and having serious chances of upsetting the applecart for some e/w shrapnel to enhanced odds are THE LITTLE YANK who is in the TRACKER and who reverts to Hurdles after losing confidence over fences but off a very competitive Hurdle mark that it could easily revive off, the other similar one with clear latent talent in this sphere is MACGILONEY a Course winner, a winner at the Distance, eased in Class and lurking off a possibly very lenient mark!
 
TIPS (1) Level Neverending / (2) Run For Pat  - shrapnel bets on (3) The Little Yank (4) Macgiloney - to enhanced places with confidence!