Monday 9th April
Good Morning
There are 3 excellent NH Fixtures today at Kempton; Ludlow and Wincanton and AW at Wolverhampton.
The Card at Kempton; in the context of a Monday is outstandingly competitive stuff; Ludlow and Wincanton stage above average Cards too;
we could easily have targeted and picked in 10 races, a good warm up for The Flat season and Evening Racing, but, and there is always a
"but" when things look like they do today, the big imponderable at Kempton is heavy overnight rain and The Going. It would not be an issue
in mid winter, but; a lot of the horses declared at the 48 hour stage were expecting genuinely drying ground and Good To Soft, many won't
like the rain affected Going, a significant number look like "spring/summer" types needing the run, and therefore we can't really attack the
meeting with any great confidence. It is that time of year and a period to be sensible and prudent!
So; we will have a small Unit LUCKY 31 today, includes 5 horses whose fitness, form and handicap marks look very good today and who
won't mind the rain - in essence classic "mention types" that we have combined together in a "fun bet" we suggest no more than a 10p
each way unit stake = 31 bets @ 10p each way = £6.20, a small outlay but potentially nice rewards here are the horses and after a few
added "watch and track" / mentions-:
LUCKY 31
Kempton 4.10 8 Dance Floor King @ 16/1
Kempton 4.45 8 Grace Tara @ 8/1*
Kempton 5.20 7 Theatre Stage @ 10/1*
Kempton 5.50 11 Breaking Ground @ 5/1*
Ludlow 4.30 3 Lagvara @ 12/1*
(races where Ladbroke / Coral go odds to 4th place - make sure they do for L31's but enhanced for singles at least)
(suggest therefore you use Ladbroke/Coral if possible and one occasion where worth "taking a price")
Unit 10p each way = 62 bets @ 10p = £6.20 staked.
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In terms of possible Tricast options - Kempton 3.35 As I See It / Kilfilum Cross / De Name Evades Me look very strong on soft; at Kempton
in the 4.10 KILINAKIN was strongly considered for the L31; at Kempton in the 4.45 LITTLE MILLIE is one to note and track whatever happens
today; at Ludlow in the 4.30 GOODGIRLTHERESA one we have picked twice was closely considered for L31 and in the 2.20 Merry Milan could
outrun odds and looks a nice long term type; finally at Wincanton in the 3.15 the likes of Daytime Ahead and Broken Quest who have won for us
more than once this season are noted but does look a tough race and may be Tricast with DA + BQ with JAMMIN MASTERS for a few quid.