Saturday 23rd June

Elite

Ascot

5.00

7 Dreamfield @ 4/1

2 win

 

Elite

Ascot

5.00

2 Lancelot Du Lac @ 401

½ e/w

 

Elite

Ascot

5.00

6 Ice Age @ 25/1

½ e/w

 

Elite

Ascot

5.00

1 Mr Lupton @ 14/1

1 e/w

 

Elite

Ascot

5.00

11 Danzeno @ 20/1

½ e/w

 

Elite

Ascot

5.00

10 Growl @ 14/1

½ e/w

 

SKYBET go odds to 7th so use if you can alternatively LADS / CORAL / PP and others go odds to 6th - we will record to 6th place

It is rare to see a 7/2 - 4/1 favourite for this type of race, it is also unusual for such a horse to win given the competitive nature of the race but the form and connections of DREAMFIELD make a compelling case. By going 2 points win at 4/1 (or even 7/2) I effectively make every other selection a "punt to nothing" IF the favourite wins and scope for a substantial each way net profit to 6th-7th place. IF the favourite does not win, I would be hopeful of a nice winner and place money from the selections.


The draw is a niggle for the favourite as unless there is a complete about turn, as there was in this race last year draw wise; it looks middle to high is the place to be. There are basically 28 runners who can win this; too many dangers to refer to; so I will focus on what I think is value and the staking plan above represents my thoughts and logic.

I think that LANCELOT DU LAC is overpriced, it is nicely handicapped, used to this type of race; decent Course form and drawn in 24 likely to be prominent throughout IF running to form, there are some who think it needs cut, but it has run well enough on Good to Firm for me to see it competitive. I think pace is vital here and plenty up high and in that context ICE AGE is a progressive horse drawn in 20 who is running well and has a nice profile for the race and wouldn't it be a story if the Trainer top and tailed the week with another big handicap winner, another horse who I think is over-priced. MR LUPTON is possibly my strongest one other than the favourite; he will need some luck in running given his "hold up style" and will need a clean run through, that's my only niggle as he can and has finished before like the proverbial train. DANZENO and  GROWL are both horses with plenty of "back form" here at Ascot whose handicap marks; whilst not standout are good enough to make me think they will be their usual competitive selves in a race where to be honest it is 50% luck in running and 50% judgement. I am a slave to fortune also in the respect that I have not focussed on low drawn, but Ian has had a craft "mention" on last years winner OUT DO drawn very low once again.

That's all from ELITE this week, it will be back next Saturday as usual and stand-by for an announcement early next week; about something exciting regarding Michael (Elite Tipster) whose overall form has been exceptional since joining us, with a host of big winners
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